Tuesday, September 30, 2008

The Twin Frankensteins: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

The current liquidity gridlock and extreme volatility washing across all of our debt and equity markets has caused me to do some reflecting on what I think some of the possible causes may have been. Obviously, mortgage lending took a reckless and unsustainable turn. This is what I believe has been the major catalyst for our current state of affairs. (The second catalyst--and one I will not delve into in this piece--was a combination of the repeal of Glass-Steagall Act in 1999, the bursting of the internet bubble in 2000 and the subsequent squeeze on investment bank profit margins which led to their "all-in" approach to highly leveraged, high fee, structured investment vehicles).

In order to understand how this reckless mortgage lending began, a short history lesson is in order. In a word--regulation. Regulation driven by liberals and progressives, not free-market “deregulators” as the aforementioned would have you believe.

Pushed hard by politicians and community activists, the regulators systematically and deliberately altered financially sound lending practices. The mortgage market was humming along just fine when, in the late 1980s, progressives, in their traditional style of fixing things that aren't necessarily broken, decided that it needed to be “fixed.” Their complaint: some ethnic groups got approved for mortgages at lower rates than others.

The shift began in 1989, when Congress amended the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act to force banks to collect racial data on mortgage applicants. By 1991, critics were using that data to paint lenders as racist by showing that minority applicants were approved at far lower rates. In fact, they found a racial disparity only by ignoring relevant data on applicants’ ability to make mortgage payments - such as their assets and credit history.

But the political pressure was intense - with few in politics or media eager to speak the truth. And then, in 1992, came a study from four researchers at the Boston Fed, which seemed to bear out the critics’ contentions.

That study was, in fact, based on quite flawed data - but the authors’ political, media and academic protectors stifled most serious criticism, smearing the reputation of one whistleblower and allowing the Boston authors to avoid answering serious academic challenges to their work. Other studies with different conclusions were ignored.

The very next year, the Boston Fed announced new requirements for banks - rules that have now turned out to be monumentally catastrophic: Adopt “relaxed lending standards” or risk being labeled as racists, and face serious penalties under the Federal Community Reinvestment Act.

But don't take my word for it. Below is a New York Times article--ironically published 9 years ago to the day--that talks about Fannie Mae relaxing their lending standards in order to allow more minorities to realize the American dream of debt beyond their wildest imaginations.

Here's also an 8.5 minute video spliced together from C-SPAN footage that documents how the democrats protected FNM and FRE from proper oversight.

Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending

Published: September 30, 1999

In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.

The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.

Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.

In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates -- anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional loans.

''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive officer. ''Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.''

Demographic information on these borrowers is sketchy. But at least one study indicates that 18 percent of the loans in the subprime market went to black borrowers, compared to 5 per cent of loans in the conventional loan market.

In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980's.

''From the perspective of many people, including me, this is another thrift industry growing up around us,'' said Peter Wallison a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. ''If they fail, the government will have to step up and bail them out the way it stepped up and bailed out the thrift industry.''

Under Fannie Mae's pilot program, consumers who qualify can secure a mortgage with an interest rate one percentage point above that of a conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgage of less than $240,000 -- a rate that currently averages about 7.76 per cent. If the borrower makes his or her monthly payments on time for two years, the one percentage point premium is dropped.

Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, does not lend money directly to consumers. Instead, it purchases loans that banks make on what is called the secondary market. By expanding the type of loans that it will buy, Fannie Mae is hoping to spur banks to make more loans to people with less-than-stellar credit ratings.

Fannie Mae officials stress that the new mortgages will be extended to all potential borrowers who can qualify for a mortgage. But they add that the move is intended in part to increase the number of minority and low income home owners who tend to have worse credit ratings than non-Hispanic whites.

Home ownership has, in fact, exploded among minorities during the economic boom of the 1990's. The number of mortgages extended to Hispanic applicants jumped by 87.2 per cent from 1993 to 1998, according to Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies. During that same period the number of African Americans who got mortgages to buy a home increased by 71.9 per cent and the number of Asian Americans by 46.3 per cent.

In contrast, the number of non-Hispanic whites who received loans for homes increased by 31.2 per cent.

Despite these gains, home ownership rates for minorities continue to lag behind non-Hispanic whites, in part because blacks and Hispanics in particular tend to have on average worse credit ratings.

In July, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed that by the year 2001, 50 percent of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's portfolio be made up of loans to low and moderate-income borrowers. Last year, 44 percent of the loans Fannie Mae purchased were from these groups.

The change in policy also comes at the same time that HUD is investigating allegations of racial discrimination in the automated underwriting systems used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to determine the credit-worthiness of credit applicants.


The reason that progressive liberals should never be trusted with anybody's money is that they do not realize the simple fact that money is ethnic, color and race blind. If somebody is a good credit risk, they will be able to secure financing no matter the color of their skin. If by chance a bank really is racist, or there's some wild conspiracy among bankers where they collude to discriminate against qualified borrowers based on the color of their skin, you can bet another bank outside the reach of this cabal of colluding bankers would spring up and do a thriving business with all of these potential borrowers. There's really no need to legislate looser lending standards due to perceived discrimination. I do not expect that that argument will ever hold water in the minds of those who see racism or sexism lurking behind every door, especially when their livelihood and power is predicated on maintaining that illusion; regardless of the cost to society in the aggregate.

UPDATE: here is a report from the Independent Institute that details exactly what was the flawed data in the initial Boston Fed report I mentioned above.

Saturday, September 06, 2008

Burning Man 2008

Burning Man: Part IV

Juggernaut: n.
  1. Something, such as a belief or institution, that elicits blind and destructive devotion or to which people are ruthlessly sacrificed.
  2. An overwhelming, advancing force that crushes or seems to crush everything in its path: “It doesn't assume that people need necessarily remain passive when confronted by what appears to be the juggernaut of history” (Christopher Lehmann-Haupt).
It may sound counter intuitive, but not coming across as redundant after four separate Burning Man experiences is hard to do. There's a certain consistency to the chaos out there on the playa; a familiarity that only reveals itself when you are standing there immersed in it. The last thing most people want to do--me included--whilst standing in the middle of the BM experience is to pause and reflect on the moment in order to create a memory catalog for reference when it comes time to write about it later. Pictures are helpful, but they generally do not provide the proper context in which events unfold. Plus people that take too many pictures miss out on a lot. It is hard to participate (Burning Man is all about participation) with a camera glued to your eyeball, which is why all I have to show for all my picture taking efforts is this pathetic collection of grainy photos from a disposable camera. Personally, I find that kind of charming. For anybody that wants to get into a full on Burning Man pictography, google will provide countless links to professional portfolios.



The "Lido" deck was my favorite place to spend the mornings.
Our camp this year was the best ever. Thanks to all who made it possible!

The playa surface was pretty loose this year. That made biking a bit more difficult.


The Tower of Babel: quite possibly the grandest piece of artwork that has ever been erected on the playa.


The Lido Deck: Cazadores and Coors Light served daily.


Neither was able to knock any sense into the other...


From the inside of the 12 story Tower of Babel.


Back in college we would sometimes get an assignment that required "stream of consciousness" writing. This involved putting the pen to the paper and simply writing whatever came to mind, non-stop, for a specified period of time. It is an exercise I've always enjoyed. Sometimes I'll still do it because I think it helps to quiet the mind and get the ideas flowing. I did a short exercise before starting this post, and one word that really resonated this time around was juggernaut.
Burning Man is a juggernaut, but not so much in the Old Testament style of blind devotion and destrictive sacrafice as defined in the first definition. Rather, it is more like the second definition, the one that defines a juggernaut as an overwhelming, advancing force that crushes or seems to crush everything in its path.

That's Burning Man!


Wednesday, September 03, 2008

A different kind of hope for a change


It is entertaining to watch the Obamaniacs soil their capri pants over John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin as his running mate. So far it seems the most dirt they can dig up on her is that her 17 year old daughter is 5 months pregnant and unmarried. For reasons that are unclear to me this seems to be a hypocracy of epic proportions; I guess because Mrs. Palin preaches the insane notion that abstinence is the best form of birth control. Anybody that was once young will recall that teenage rebellion is based on doing exactly what your parents tell you not to.

If she'd only hold still long enough for an abortion, that would surely pacify the left.

Bastard-ette!


Here is a list of 21 famous illegitimate children including poets, actors, authors, popes, and statesmen whose parents were not married. There's actually only 20 listed on the website, but I added one extra at the end.


21 Illegitimate Children

1. Guillaume Apollinaire. Poet.

2. Sarah Bernhardt. Actress.

3. Giovanni Boccaccio. Author.

4. Cesare Borgia. Catholic cardinal.

5. Aleksandr Borodin. Composer.

6. Pope Clement VII. Spiritual head of the Catholic Church.

7. Leonardo da Vinci. Artist.

8. Josephine de Beauharnais. Napoleon's wife.

9. Frederick Douglass. Abolitionist.

10. Alexandre Dumas, fils. Novelist and playwright.

11. Desiderius Erasmus. Scholar and author.

12. Alexander Hamilton. U.S. Secretary of the Treasury.

13. Jenny Lind. Singer.

14. Marilyn Monroe. Actress.

15. Bernardo O'Higgins. Dictator.

16. Francisco Pizarro. Conqueror of Peru.

17. James Smithson. Chemist and inceptor of Smithsonian Institution.

18. August Strindberg. Playwright.

19. Richard Wagner. Composer.

20. William the Conqueror. First Norman ruler.

21. Jrod. Blogger.


For the record, here are the contrasting views on parenthood that we will be able to vote for this November:

Obama…
“If my daughter makes a mistake, I don’t want her punished with a baby.”

Palin…
“As [our daughter] faces the responsibilities of adulthood, she knows she has our unconditional love and support.”


All of this will ultimately be irrelevant since unwed mother will marry unwed father before the baby is born. At that point, they'll have a 50/50 chance of making it work, just like the rest of us married folk.